Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000608 0.000691 0.000779 0.000879 0.000989 0.001106 0.001240
2025-12-14 0.000473 0.000587 0.000716 0.000872 0.001054 0.001259 0.001506
2025-12-21 0.000394 0.000520 0.000669 0.000857 0.001086 0.001352 0.001685
2025-12-28 0.000352 0.000490 0.000659 0.000881 0.001158 0.001492 0.001918
2026-01-04 0.000316 0.000461 0.000646 0.000894 0.001215 0.001610 0.002126
2026-01-11 0.000278 0.000425 0.000619 0.000887 0.001242 0.001689 0.002286
2026-01-18 0.000245 0.000392 0.000591 0.000876 0.001262 0.001757 0.002430
2026-01-25 0.000224 0.000372 0.000580 0.000884 0.001305 0.001856 0.002616
2026-02-01 0.000203 0.000352 0.000566 0.000887 0.001340 0.001942 0.002786
2026-02-08 0.000177 0.000320 0.000532 0.000858 0.001329 0.001967 0.002875
2026-02-15 0.000155 0.000293 0.000504 0.000835 0.001324 0.001997 0.002970
2026-02-22 0.000140 0.000276 0.000489 0.000831 0.001344 0.002061 0.003111
2026-03-01 0.000128 0.000261 0.000476 0.000830 0.001369 0.002135 0.003268
2026-03-08 0.000115 0.000244 0.000459 0.000820 0.001382 0.002189 0.003400
2026-03-15 0.000102 0.000227 0.000441 0.000807 0.001387 0.002232 0.003516
2026-03-22 0.000098 0.000224 0.000445 0.000829 0.001447 0.002357 0.003751
2026-03-29 0.000092 0.000218 0.000443 0.000843 0.001492 0.002461 0.003958
2026-04-05 0.000083 0.000205 0.000430 0.000835 0.001505 0.002517 0.004095
2026-04-12 0.000075 0.000193 0.000415 0.000825 0.001512 0.002563 0.004219
2026-04-19 0.000070 0.000186 0.000411 0.000833 0.001549 0.002654 0.004412
2026-04-26 0.000065 0.000179 0.000405 0.000835 0.001576 0.002732 0.004585
2026-05-03 0.000057 0.000164 0.000382 0.000808 0.001554 0.002731 0.004639
2026-05-10 0.000050 0.000151 0.000364 0.000786 0.001539 0.002742 0.004710